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Educationrisk-psych

交易计划:制定一份你真正会遵循的清单

You are reading Lesson 9 of the risk-psych course.

A professional Trading Plan has four distinct pillars: Routine, Strategy, Risk, and Review. Let's build them one by one.

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**1. THE MINDSET: CEO VS. EMPLOYEE**

To succeed, you must split your personality.

* **The CEO (You on Sunday):** Rational, calm, looks at the big picture, manages risk, writes the rules.
* **The Employee (You on Monday):** Focused, disciplined, obedient, clicks the buttons.

**The Golden Rule:** The Employee is **not allowed** to change the rules. If the Employee thinks the CEO is wrong, they must wait until the weekend to file a complaint. During market hours, the Employee just follows orders. This separation prevents emotional hijacking.

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**2. PILLAR 1: THE ROUTINE (The Setup)**

Discipline starts before the market opens. Your plan must list the prerequisites for trading.

**The Pre-Market Checklist:**
1. **Physical State:** Am I hungry? Angry? Tired? (HALT). If yes, NO TRADE.
2. **Environment:** Is my desk clean? Is my phone on silent?
3. **News Check:** Check the Economic Calendar. Are there Red Folder events (CPI, NFP) today? If so, when?
4. **Top-Down Analysis:** Have I marked the Daily and 4H levels?

**The Post-Market Checklist:**
1. **Log Trades:** Enter all data into the Journal immediately.
2. **Screenshot:** Capture the charts.
3. **Shutdown:** Close the platform. Do not look at the P&L again.

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**3. PILLAR 2: THE STRATEGY (If-Then Syntax)**

Ambiguity is the enemy. "I'll buy if it looks good" is not a plan. You must define your edge using **Boolean Logic** (True/False).

**Example of a 'Trend Following' Plan:**

* **IF** Price is above the Daily 200 SMA (Trend is Up)... **THEN** I only look for Longs.
* **IF** Price pulls back to the 1-Hour Support Zone...
* **AND** Price prints a Bullish Engulfing Candle...
* **AND** RSI is not overbought...
* **THEN** I enter a Market Buy Order.

Notice there is no room for opinion. It either happened, or it didn't. If the candle is a Doji, not an Engulfing, the condition is **FALSE**. You do not trade.

**Write this down for every setup you trade.** If you cannot write it in 'If-Then' sentences, you don't have a strategy; you have a hunch.

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**4. PILLAR 3: RISK MANAGEMENT RULES (The Hard Limits)**

These are the laws of your business. Breaking them is a fireable offense.

**The Risk Checklist:**
1. **Max Risk Per Trade:** 1% of Equity.
2. **Max Open Exposure:** 3% (Max 3 trades open at once).
3. **Daily Circuit Breaker:** If I lose -3R today, I stop trading.
4. **Weekly Circuit Breaker:** If I lose -10R this week, I stop trading until Monday.
5. **News Rule:** I will not open a new trade 30 minutes before or after a High Impact news release.

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**5. PILLAR 4: TRADE MANAGEMENT (The Exit)**

Entering is easy. Managing the trade is where the stress happens. Your plan must dictate exactly how you handle the open position.

* **Stop Loss:** Placed at technical invalidation (Swing Low). NEVER MOVED FURTHER AWAY.
* **Take Profit:** Placed at next major resistance.
* **Breakeven Rule:** "I will move my Stop to Breakeven ONLY when price has made a New Higher High on the 15-minute chart."
* **Trailing Rule:** "I will trail my stop behind the 20 EMA."

By defining this beforehand, you stop yourself from closing a trade early out of fear or holding a loser out of hope.

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**6. THE DISASTER PROTOCOL**

What do you do when things go wrong? Panic?

**Scenario A: Internet goes down.**
* *Plan:* Switch to Mobile Data immediately. Have the broker app installed and logged in on the phone.

**Scenario B: Broker platform freezes.**
* *Plan:* Have the broker's emergency phone number written on a sticky note on the monitor. Call them to liquidate positions manually.

**Scenario C: You make a 'Fat Finger' error (wrong lot size).**
* *Plan:* Close the trade immediately. Do not 'see if it works out.' Correct the error instantly.

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**7. MAKING IT PHYSICAL**

A digital plan on your hard drive is useless. You won't look at it.

**The Protocol:**
1. **Type it out.** (1-2 pages max).
2. **Print it.**
3. **Laminate it.** (Optional, but adds weight to it).
4. **Place it on your desk.**

Before every single trade, you must physically look at the paper.
* "Does this trade meet criteria #1? Yes."
* "Criteria #2? Yes."
* "Criteria #3? Yes."

This 10-second pause engages your Prefrontal Cortex (Logic) and dampens the Amygdala (Emotion). It acts as a cooling mechanism for your brain.

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**8. EVOLVING THE PLAN**

Your plan is a living document.

Every month, during your Monthly Review (Lesson 27), you ask: "Is this rule still serving me?"

* *Data:* "I keep losing money on Friday afternoons."
* *Action:* Add a new rule to the Risk section: "No new trades after 12:00 PM on Fridays."

This is how you iterate towards perfection. You don't guess; you adjust the plan based on data derived from your Journal.

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**CONCLUSION**

Trading without a plan is like building a house without blueprints. You might lay a few bricks correctly, but eventually, the structure will collapse under its own weight.

The Trading Plan is your shield against the chaos of the market and the chaos of your own mind. It is the ultimate act of self-discipline.

**Your Homework:** Before you place your next trade, write your plan. Keep it simple. If it's too complicated, you won't follow it. Start with the basics: Routine, Strategy, Risk.

In the final lesson of this series, we will discuss the long-term goal of all this effort: **Compounding Growth: The path to wealth is slow and steady**.

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